Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.967420 13.431871 15.107204 17.189392 19.742218 22.817265 26.877397
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.834669 11.531669 13.614347 16.422674 20.218467 25.347942 33.154783
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.786301 10.610871 12.961287 16.322840 21.217074 28.480189 41.020317
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.978967 9.845691 12.338443 16.068356 21.831779 31.088493 49.017116
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.415438 9.319079 11.940915 16.023746 22.685452 34.228485 59.401849
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.023821 8.975803 11.742264 16.216700 23.917982 38.345791 74.247210
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.538712 8.450924 11.214494 15.803871 24.011307 40.310893 85.409538
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.215574 8.129124 10.952341 15.775857 24.773900 43.877754 104.112602
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.810410 7.655254 10.412391 15.208453 24.402735 44.814621 115.488886
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.406130 7.157158 9.796477 14.443041 23.516818 44.294103 121.307881
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.076277 6.752743 9.301163 13.841949 22.876615 44.235523 129.441178
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.203394 7.048929 9.946803 15.358112 26.964249 58.358870 236.562308
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.128642 7.037518 10.105099 16.033572 29.498452 70.183551 401.428150
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.823944 6.643687 9.587511 15.333917 28.609393 70.125117 455.236962
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.646180 6.443204 9.387070 15.244315 29.230376 76.084096 661.164079
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.461652 6.221197 9.132629 15.014876 29.445486 80.701435 947.515835
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.320559 6.062371 8.977888 14.974640 30.165633 88.163168 1659.927172
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.220952 5.966184 8.927275 15.148637 31.534881 100.139277 4642.752877
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.052784 5.747300 8.639894 14.776231 31.231783 103.250734 9506.940669
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.942727 5.621075 8.514619 14.750943 31.983194 113.408945 177557.717747
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.776073 5.392098 8.186527 14.238214 31.114663 112.816132 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.594871 5.132575 7.790823 13.544988 29.577792 107.016115 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.441444 4.916026 7.467587 12.999294 28.457757 103.709693 NaN